1 Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, King's College Hospital Medical School, London and 2 Endocrine Unit, Clinical Biochemistry Department, Harold Wood Hospital, Romford, Essex, UK
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Abstract |
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Key words: free ß-HCG/nuchal translucency/PAPP-A/screening/trisomy 21
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Introduction |
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In pregnancies achieved with assisted reproduction techniques, the prevalence of fetal abnormalities is not higher than in natural conceptions, except perhaps for sex chromosome aneuploidies (Koulischer et al., 1997). However, there is some evidence that second-trimester biochemical screening for trisomy 21 in assisted reproduction pregnancies is associated with higher false-positive results, than in naturally conceived pregnancies, because of an unexplained increase in maternal serum HCG concentration and a decrease in unconjugated oestriol (Maymon et al., 1999a
). Although one study of 138 pregnancies achieved by IVF reported no significant difference in total HCG and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) from naturally conceived pregnancies (Muller et al., 1993
), another two studies of 41 and 67 IVF pregnancies reported that the median serum HCG concentration was 1.52 multiples of the median (MOM) and 1.29 MOM respectively (Heinonen et al., 1996
; Ribbert et al., 1996
). Similarly, a study of 151 IVF pregnancies reported that concentrations of unconjugated oestriol were 6% lower, total HCG 14% higher and free ß-HCG 9% higher than in normal pregnancies (Wald et al., 1999
). Another study of 1632 women who had ovulation induction, and 298 who had IVF, found that total HCG was significantly increased (1.09 MOM) and unconjugated oestriol was decreased (0.92 MOM) (Barkai et al., 1996
). Similarly, others (Frishman et al., 1997
) examined 69 women who had IVF reported that total HCG was significantly increased (1.22 MOM) and unconjugated oestriol was decreased (0.90 MOM).
In this study, the possible effect of assisted reproduction on first-trimester screening for trisomy 21 was examined by monitoring fetal NT and concentrations of maternal serum free ß-HCG and PAPP-A.
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Materials and methods |
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Demographic data, ultrasound findings and the results of biochemical testing were entered into a fetal database at the time of assessment, and from this information patient-specific risks were produced. Outcome follow-up data were obtained from the patients or their doctors. In this retrospective study a search was made of the database to identify all singleton pregnancies (one live fetus and one gestational sac) achieved by assisted reproduction, which had first-trimester screening. A series of spontaneously conceived control pregnancies (three per case) matched for maternal age, ethnic origin and smoking status were similarly identified.
Statistical analysis
All free ß-HCG, PAPP-A and NT measurements were converted to MOM, derived from previous studies (Snijders et al., 1998; Spencer et al., 1999
) of unaffected pregnancies and gestational age calculated from fetal crownrump length. MOM values for biochemical markers were calculated after correction for maternal weight using the reciprocal weight procedure (Neveux et al., 1996
) as described previously (Spencer et al., 2000e
). The non-parametric MannWhitney test was used to determine the significance of differences between the groups, because even with logarithmic transformation the data of the smaller subgroups were not normally distributed. Statistical analysis of data was performed with Analyse-It (Smart Software, Leeds, UK) a statistical software add-in for Microsoft Excel 7.
The performance of first-trimester screening for trisomy 21 using fetal NT and maternal serum biochemical markers in spontaneously conceived and IVF pregnancies was assessed using standard statistical modelling techniques (Royston and Thompson, 1997). Population parameters for unaffected pregnancies and those affected by trisomy 21 from an earlier study (Spencer et al., 1999
) were used. Using these parameters, a series of 15 000 random MOM values were selected for each marker from within the distribution of trisomy 21 and the unaffected pregnancies. To simulate IVF pregnancies, the MOM values for PAPP-A and free ß-HCG were adjusted by the percentage changes observed in this study. These values (trisomy 21 and unaffected MOMs; trisomy 21 and IVF adjusted unaffected MOMs) were then used to calculate likelihood ratios which were then used together with the age-related risk for trisomy 21 in the first trimester (Snijders et al., 1999
), to calculate the expected detection and false-positive rate at a fixed cut-off, in a population with the maternal age distribution of pregnancies in England and Wales (Office of National Statistics, 19971999
).
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Results |
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In the assisted reproduction group, there were six cases with chromosomal defects (Table III), 401 cases with normal fetal karyotype or the delivery of phenotypically normal babies, and four cases of miscarriages with unknown fetal karyotype.
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Discussion |
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Concentrations of maternal serum free ß-HCG in IVF pregnancies were about 15% higher than in naturally conceived pregnancies. This increase is similar to that reported in the second trimester both for free ß-HCG [9% by Wald et al. (1999)] and for total HCG [29% by Ribbert et al. (1996); 22% by Frishman et al. (1997); 14% by Wald et al. (1999)]. In ICSI pregnancies, maternal serum HCG concentrations in the second trimester are not significantly different from normal, but AFP concentrations are reduced (Lam et al., 1999). Similarly, we found that in the first trimester there was no significant change in concentrations of free ß-HCG, but those of PAPP-A were reduced.
Accurate risk estimates in IVF pregnancies undergoing first-trimester screening for chromosomal defects requires correction of the measured concentrations to reduce the overestimate of risk. It was suggested previously that in IVF pregnancies undergoing second-trimester biochemical screening for chromosomal defects the measured MOM should be divided by the median MOM obtained in IVF pregnancies (Wald et al., 1999). This procedure was shown to bring the false-positive rate back to the rate observed in naturally conceived pregnancies. Correcting in a similar manner in the current first-trimester study would have also reduced the false-positive rate to that in the control group. However, before such adjustment of risk calculation is considered, it would be necessary to study a large number of trisomy 21 pregnancies achieved by assisted reproduction to determine the effectiveness of screening with adjusted means.
Fetal NT was not affected by assisted reproduction, and this is in agreement with a previous study of 75 singleton pregnancies achieved by assisted reproduction (Maymon et al., 1999b). In the current study, NT screening alone would have identified all six chromosomally abnormal fetuses. However, in a multicentre study of 96127 pregnancies, including 326 with trisomy 21, the sensitivity of screening by nuchal translucency was 77% for a false- positive rate of 5% (Snijders et al., 1998
). Screening by a combination of nuchal translucency and first-trimester biochemistry improves the detection of trisomy 21 to ~90% (Spencer et al., 1999
, 2000d
; Krantz et al., 2000
). It would therefore be reasonable to offer women with pregnancies achieved by assisted reproduction the option of combined screening, despite the small increase (of ~1%) in the false-positive rate. Another option is that in a woman with an IVF pregnancy the measured MOM of free ß-HCG is divided by the median MOM of 1.2, found in this study.
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Acknowledgements |
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Notes |
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References |
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Submitted on February 5, 2001; accepted on April 4, 2001.