1 Centre for Research in Health & Social Statistics, Sejrøgade 11, DK-2100, 2 The Sperm Analysis Laboratory, Health Service Physicians Organisation, Pilestræde, Copenhagen, 3 Institute of Cancer Epidemiology, The Danish Cancer Society, Strandboulevarden 49, Box 839, DK-2100, 4 Department of Growth and Reproduction, National University Hospital, Blegdamsvej 9, DK-2100, Denmark and 5 Thames Cancer Registry, Guy's, King's and St Thomas' School of Medicine, 42 Weston Street, London SE1 3QD, UK
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Abstract |
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Key words: cohort study/fertility/sex ratio/testicular cancer
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Introduction |
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Materials and methods |
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The number of children of the men who developed testicular cancer was 3661 and the number of children of men in the comparison group was 1 250 989. The analyses included both live-born and still-born biological children. The men who were married to the mother at the birth of the child were defined as the biological father. In cases where the mother was not married, the man who signed at the birth of the child to be the father was defined as the biological father. When no man had signed, the biological father was identified as the man to whom the biological mother was married or with whom she was living by January 1st in the year of birth of the child. For each man, information was available on date of birth, date of testicular cancer diagnosis, histological type of testicular cancer and date of death. For each child, information was available on sex and date of birth. The analysis was conducted for the testicular cancer group as a whole and separately for the histological groups seminoma and non-seminoma.
Fertility rate ratios and offspring sex ratios were calculated for the periods: (i) up to 8 full calendar years before testicular cancer diagnosis, (ii) from 8 years before until 4 years before testicular cancer diagnosis, (iii) from 4 years before testicular cancer until 2 years before testicular cancer diagnosis. Offspring sex ratios were further calculated from 2 years before until 2 years after testicular cancer diagnosis, and from two years after testicular cancer and onwards. Age and year of birth of the man (in 5 year groups) were included as co-variates in all analyses. Fertility rates were analysed as a function of the covariates using multiplicative Poisson regression models (Breslow and Day, 1987), and fertility rate ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were thereby estimated. The analyses of the proportion of male offspring were similarly carried out by logistic regression analysis (Breslow and Day, 1980
). In the analysis of fertility rates, the best fit to the data was obtained by a Poisson regression model that included an interaction term between age and year of birth. This interaction was due to an increase in age-specific fertility with increasing year of birth. Inclusion or exclusion of the interaction term, however, had no material influence on the analysis of fertility in men who developed testicular cancer. The analysis of offspring sex ratios was carried out with a logistic regression model that included age and year of birth as co-variates. As in the analysis of fertility, the estimated parameters were robust to the details of model parameterization. All statistical analyses were done using the SAS 6.12 package (SAS, 1996
).
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Results |
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Fertility rate ratios in men who developed testicular cancer compared with all men are shown in Table I. Prior to testicular cancer diagnosis, the fertility rate ratios of men who subsequently developed testicular cancer were significantly reduced in the period up to 2 years before testicular cancer diagnosis (fertility rate ratio: 0.93), more strongly so in men who developed non-seminoma (0.87) than seminoma (0.97). Stratification of the period prior to testicular cancer showed the same overall lower fertility even though not significant in some categories (Table I
). For both histological groups of testicular cancer the general pattern of fertility in relation to the time of testicular cancer diagnosis was the same.
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Discussion |
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Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that the temporal trends in testicular cancer incidence (Coleman et al., 1993; Adami et al., 1994
; Forman and Møller, 1994
), sex ratio among new-born infants (Møller, 1996
, 1998
) and (less certain) male subfertility (Carlsen et al., 1992
; Swan et al., 1997
) are not merely separate, unrelated phenomena, but characteristics of male reproduction that are linked by biological mechanisms. The relatively strong and statistically robust associations point towards the existence of common factors acting on the male reproductive system, probably prior to reproductive age, which lead to the constitutional characteristic of high testicular cancer risk, subfertility and low offspring sex ratio.
There are strong clues that testicular cancer is a process that starts in utero. The incidence of testicular cancer among men born during the second world war in Denmark, Norway and Sweden was markedly lower than in men born before and after the war (Bergström et al., 1996; Møller and Skakkebæk 1997
). Associations with low birthweight (Møller and Skakkebæk, 1997
) and congenital malformations of the male genital organs (United Kingdom Testicular Cancer Study Group, 1994
; Møller et al., 1995
) indicate that the causes of testicular cancer probably act early in fetal life. In addition, the carcinoma in-situ cells (precursor of seminomas and non-seminomas) have several characteristics of fetal germ cells (Skakkebæk et al., 1987
). The relevant factors remain to be identified, but it has been postulated that maternal oestrogens or other agents that can disrupt normal hormonal conditions in the developing male fetus may be involved (Sharpe and Skakkebæk, 1993).
Low offspring sex ratio has been proposed as an indicator of male reproductive hazards, particularly in occupationally exposed groups (James, 1996a). One chemical compound, the pesticide dibromochloropropane (DBCP), is known to lead to subfertility and low offspring sex ratio in exposed adult men (Potashnik et al., 1984
). Exposure to the dioxin TCDD in the population of Seveso in Italy was associated with a low sex ratio among the children of exposed parents (Mocarelli et al., 1996
). Neither of these two exposures is a good candidate to explain the associations between testicular cancer, male subfertility and low sex ratios, but these findings point to the possible existence of relevant biological mechanisms, yet to be elucidated.
One possible explanation for low offspring sex ratio of men who develop testicular cancer could be a hormonal imbalance of men with carcinoma in-situ. Low concentrations of testosterone in men with contralateral carcinoma in-situ among testicular cancer patients before their treatment (Petersen et al., 1999). If the low testosterone levels are not merely a consequence of the cancer itself but represent a more permanent condition related to bilateral carcinoma in-situ, this could explain the observed lower sex ratio in the present study, as low testosterone concentrations have been associated with a low sex ratio among offspring (James, 1996b
).
The measure of fertility used in the present study was the number of children born fathered by each man. This is not a perfect measure as men could, for example, choose not to have children for reasons other than fertility problems. If this misclassification is non-differential, then the resulting bias, on average, would be towards the null. The classification of men's biological children in the study is based on the men's relationship to the mother of the child. This could lead to misclassification of some children due to donor insemination or due to the man not being the biological father for other reasons. However, this misclassification would again decrease differences between the testicular cancer cohort and the population, rather than increase them.
Good registration systems exist in many populations for the monitoring of testicular cancer incidence and births of male and female infants. While medical treatment for involuntary childlessness is certainly increasing, no correspondingly good registration system exists for subfertility. If a general association between subfertility and low offspring sex ratio can be confirmed by future research, the infant sex ratio may potentially be a useful epidemiological tool for research in the causes of both testicular cancer and male subfertility.
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Notes |
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References |
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Submitted on April 5, 2000; accepted on June 14, 2000.