Infertility, Fertility Drugs, and Ovarian Cancer: A Pooled Analysis of Case-Control Studies
Roberta B. Ness1,
Daniel W. Cramer2,
Marc T. Goodman3,
Susanne Krûger Kjaer4,
Kathy Mallin5,
Berit Jul Mosgaard6,
David M. Purdie7,
Harvey A. Risch8,
Ronald Vergona1 and
Anna H. Wu9
1 University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, PA.
2 Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
3 Cancer Research Center, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI.
4 Danish Cancer Society, Institute of Cancer Epidemiology, Copenhagen, Denmark.
5 University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL.
6 Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Herlev Hospital, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
7 Queensland Institute of Medical Research, Royal Brisbane Hospital, Queensland, Australia.
8 Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.
9 University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA.
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ABSTRACT
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Controversy surrounds the relations among infertility, fertility drug use, and the risk of ovarian cancer. The authors pooled interview data on infertility and fertility drug use from eight case-control studies conducted between 1989 and 1999 in the United States, Denmark, Canada, and Australia. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated, adjusting for age, race, family history of ovarian cancer, duration of oral contraception use, tubal ligation, gravidity, education, and site. Included in the analysis were 5,207 cases and 7,705 controls. Among nulligravid women, attempts for more than 5 years to become pregnant compared with attempts for less than 1 year increased the risk of ovarian cancer 2.67-fold (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.91, 3.74). Among nulliparous, subfertile women, neither any fertility drug use (odds ratio (OR) = 1.60, 95% CI: 0.90, 2.87) nor more than 12 months of use (OR = 1.54, 95% CI: 0.45, 5.27) was associated with ovarian cancer. Fertility drug use in nulligravid women was associated with borderline serous tumors (OR = 2.43, 95% CI: 1.01, 5.88) but not with any invasive histologic subtypes. Endometriosis (OR = 1.73, 95% CI: 1.10, 2.71) and unknown cause of infertility (OR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.40) increased cancer risk. These data suggest a role for specific biologic causes of infertility, but not for fertility drugs in overall risk for ovarian cancer.
fertility agents, female; infertility; ovarian neoplasms
Abbreviations:
CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio
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INTRODUCTION
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Considerable public attention and patient anxiety during the past decade have focused on the possible link between fertility drugs and ovarian cancer risk. Some studies suggested that women who took fertility drugs, yet did not become pregnant, as well as women with longer durations of fertility drug exposure, are at substantially elevated risk of ovarian cancer (1
, 2
). However, results from other studies have not been consistent, even among potentially high-risk subgroups of women with high lifetime exposures to fertility drugs (3





10
).
Interpretation of an association between fertility drugs and ovarian cancer is complicated by the fact that infertility may elevate ovarian cancer risk (1
3
, 6

9
, 11



16
). Infertility is a heterogeneous end product of a number of biologically distinct conditions. There have been several attempts to segregate infertility by type and to examine each infertility type separately as it relates to ovarian cancer risk. These studies have been inconclusive, with some showing an association to ovarian cancer and ovulatory infertility (2
, 16
) and some to infertility of unknown cause (3
, 7
).
The increasing use of fertility drugs in many countries suggests an emerging need to separate an association of infertility with ovarian cancer from that of infertility treatment. Key obstacles to studying this question include the rarity of the disease and the relatively infrequent prescription of ovulation-inducing drugs.
We report the results of an international pooled analysis of infertility and fertility drug use in eight ovarian cancer case-control investigations. Our analysis included a large sample of subjects in which to 1) determine whether specific infertility diagnoses were associated with ovarian cancer and 2) examine whether, among women with subfertility, fertility drugs elevated ovarian cancer risk.
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MATERIALS AND METHODS
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Data collection
Table 1 summarizes the characteristics of the eight case-control studies included in this analysis. All of the studies were conducted between 1989 and 1999, and each used population-based case and control selection. Four studies were conducted among women living on the mainland United States (17
19
) (one of which included women living in Hawaii (17
)), two were conducted in Denmark (8
) (Kjaer et al., Danish Cancer Society, unpublished data), one in Canada (20
), and one in Australia (21
). Only one study separately published an analysis of fertility drug use and ovarian cancer (8
). Six additional studies were excluded from consideration in this pooled analysis because they did not meet the timing criteria of conduct on or after 1989 or did not collect data on fertility drugs or both (five studies) or because they had not completed data collection (one study). All data in this report were analyzed in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, using datasets stripped of individual identifiers.
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TABLE 1. Study sites and their characteristics included in the pooled analysis of eight case-control studies, 19891999
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Infertility and fertility drug use
Standardized in-person interviews were conducted in all but one (8
) of the studies. That study mailed self-administered questionnaires. In four of the studies (17
, 19
) (Kjaer et al., Danish Cancer Society, and Mallin et al., University of Illinois at Chicago, unpublished data) a modification of a single questionnaire was used. This questionnaire based recall for reproductive events on a "life" calendar approach in which each woman marked a calendar with important events during her life and used these to enhance her memory for date-related information. The studies by Risch et al. (20
) and Purdie et al. (21
) also used a life calendar as a memory aid. Data were checked for internal consistency, and when necessary, clarifications were requested from the investigators.
We requested that each study provide data on the following independent variables in the following format: sought medical attention for infertility (yes/no), infertility tests done (partner/self/both/neither), infertility diagnosis (type), fertility drug use (duration), specific fertility drug used (duration), and histology (cases only). Time spent attempting pregnancy (continuous) was also obtained. In most studies, this had been collapsed into a single variable encompassing cumulative duration of trying over a lifetime.
Covariates
Each study also provided data on potentially important covariates that we have previously found to be significantly related to ovarian cancer risk (22
): age (continuous), gravidity (continuous), first-degree family history of ovarian cancer (yes/no), race (Black, White, Hispanic, Asian, other), educational attainment (less than high school, high school, more than high school), tubal ligation (ever/never), oral contraceptive use duration (continuous), and study code (categorical).
Statistical analysis
Pooled odds ratios, with corresponding 95 percent confidence intervals, were calculated as the primary measure of effect size. Because most studies used frequency rather than individual matching and matched on the basis of broad criteria, such as age within 5- to 10-year intervals, we used unconditional logistic regression models to adjust for any additional effects of age as well as for gravidity, race, education, history of ovarian cancer in any first-degree relative, tubal ligation, oral contraceptive use duration, and study, as indicated above. We checked the reasonableness of pooling estimates by calculating odds ratios within individual studies and calculating a Woolf test for heterogeneity among studies for all major results (23
). In none of the significant associations between infertility type and ovarian cancer and in none of the fertility drug and ovarian cancer analyses did we find statistically significant heterogeneity among studies. We did find heterogeneity when comparing four or more pregnancies with zero pregnancies and in comparing never-pregnant women trying for less than 1 year to get pregnant with those trying for more than 5 years. In both situations, we provide the heterogeneity statistic and range of odds ratios in Results.
In evaluating risk associated with fertility drugs, we restricted analyses to women who had a history of 2 or more years of trying to conceive over a lifetime and/or of seeking medical attention for infertility. Both seeking infertility treatment and prolonged episodes of trying to conceive without success (typically for at least a 1-year period) are standard markers of infertility. The term "subfertility" rather than infertility is used here to describe women who tried to conceive for 2 or more years and/or sought medical attention because our data on trying comprises a cumulative period over a lifetime rather than the duration of a single episode. Confining our analyses solely to care seekers might have focused on an unrepresentative group of women with enhanced access to health care and higher socioeconomic status. Furthermore, preliminary analyses revealed that, although almost all women using fertility drugs tried for 2 or more years to get pregnant, 29.9 percent of the controls and 33.5 percent of the cases used fertility drugs yet did not report seeking medical attention specifically for infertility. One data set (Mallin et al., unpublished data) did not capture length of pregnancy attempts, but instead asked about trying for at least 1 year; that definition was used to identify subfertility among those women. We analyzed use and duration of use of fertility drugs in general and then duration of the specific drugs clomiphene and human menopausal gonadotrophin. Too few women reported exposure to other specific drugs to present those results.
Logistic regression was used to explore the interaction of infertility and fertility drug use by modeling each level of interaction between the pairs of variables infertility (yes/no) and fertility drug use (yes/no) using subjects who were fertile and who never used fertility drugs as the reference category.
Although other variables were fairly readily combined across studies, the variable for which categorization differed most between studies was type of infertility. One study (8
) had no data on infertility types and, therefore, was not included in these analyses. For other datasets, whenever possible, we collapsed medically similar categories, but for some categories we could not include datasets in which information was unavailable. Datasets that were not included in specific analyses were as follows: uterus development problems (18
, 21
), menstruation problems (18
), and cervical mucous/inflamed cervix (21
). We also defined a group of women as having an unknown cause of infertility by taking all women so designated in the data and adding any women who had infertility tests, but did not report a specific diagnosis. To account for multiple infertility diagnoses, we limited the comparison group to women with no infertility diagnosis and present analyses adjusted for standard confounders plus all types of infertility beyond the one of interest.
Finally, for infertility types that appeared to elevate ovarian cancer risk and for fertility drug use, we separately analyzed histologic subtypes, including borderline serous (n = 489), invasive serous (n = 1,782); mucinous (n = 773), endometrioid and clear cell (n = 985), and undifferentiated and all other types (n = 420).
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RESULTS
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Among the 7,705 controls, 10.2 percent were never pregnant, and among the 5,207 cases, 19.6 percent were never pregnant. In adjusted analyses, women who had never been pregnant were 2.42 times (95 percent confidence interval (CI): 1.86, 3.14) as likely to have ovarian cancer as were those with four or more pregnancies (table 2). Estimates of this association were heterogeneous between studies (p < 0.005), with odds ratios ranging from 1.69 (95 percent CI: 1.25, 2.29) to 3.75 (95 percent CI: 2.80, 5.01). Seeking medical attention for fertility problems was a modest risk factor for ovarian cancer, with the same odds ratio, 1.2, among ever pregnant and never pregnant women. Prolonged episodes of trying also elevated ovarian cancer risk, particularly among never pregnant women, wherein trying for more than 5 years versus less than 1 year without achieving pregnancy elevated the risk of ovarian cancer 2.7-fold (95 percent CI: 1.91, 3.74). Estimates for more than 5 years versus less than 1 year of trying among nulligravid women were also heterogeneous (p < 0.005), with odds ratios ranging from 0.85 (95 percent CI: 0.28, 2.59) to 15.96 (95 percent CI: 8.91, 28.60). In those trying for more than 5 years who became pregnant, the risks were 1.201.39 times higher than among women trying for less than 1 year and were not significant.
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TABLE 2. Fertility measures among cases and controls, crude and adjusted odds ratios for ovarian cancer for eight case-control studies, 19891999
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Two types of infertility (table 3), endometriosis (odds ratio (OR) = 1.73, 95 percent CI: 1.10, 2.71) and unknown cause of infertility (OR = 1.19, 95 percent CI: 1.00, 1.43), were independently associated with elevations in risk after adjustment for standard confounding factors. Further adjustment for each of the other types of infertility did not greatly alter the strength of these associations (table 3); however, with reduced power, only unknown cause of infertility continued to be significant.
Fertility drug use overall did not raise the risk of ovarian cancer in adjusted analyses (table 4). Among the 2,397 women defined as subfertile (those who sought medical attention for infertility or tried for at least 2 years to get pregnant), 14.6 percent took fertility drugs. The odds ratio of ovarian cancer for subfertile women ever taking these medications versus not taking them was 0.97 (95 percent CI: 0.76, 1.25). Among never pregnant women, the risk for ever taking fertility drugs was elevated, but not significantly so (OR = 1.60, 95 percent CI: 0.90, 2.87), and among ever pregnant women, the risk was less than 1.0 (OR = 0.82, 95 percent CI: 0.62, 1.09). Further adjustment for each of the types of infertility resulted in odds ratios of 1.75 (95 percent CI: 0.73, 4.21) for nulligravid women and 0.69 (95 percent CI: 0.48, 1.00) for gravid women. Longer duration (>12 months) of fertility drug exposure did not significantly elevate ovarian cancer risk, even among nulligravid women (OR = 1.54, 95 percent CI: 0.45, 5.27), nor did longer duration of specific drugs (i.e., clomiphene or human menopausal gonadotrophin) significantly elevate risk.
Separate results for histologic subtypes of ovarian cancers did not reveal any additional associations, with the following exceptions. Among nulligravid women, fertility drug use was significantly associated with borderline serous tumors (OR = 2.43, 95 percent CI: 1.01, 5.88), but not with invasive serous tumors (OR = 1.11, 95 percent CI: 0.51, 2.42) or with borderline or invasive mucinous tumors, endometrioid or clear cell tumors, or undifferentiated or other tumors. Among gravid women, fertility drugs were not significantly associated with any of these histologic types. Serous borderline tumors were associated with ovarian cysts (OR = 3.75, 95 percent CI: 2.15, 6.51), uterine development problems (OR = 2.73, 95 percent CI: 1.07, 7.00), menstrual problems (OR = 2.34, 95 percent CI: 1.33, 4.14), endometriosis (OR = 2.63, 95 percent CI: 1.10, 6.26), and unknown cause of infertility (OR = 1.86, 95 percent CI: 1.26, 2.74). Beyond this effect, which may well represent a surveillance bias, we found endometrioid/clear cell tumors associated with endometriosis (OR = 3.41, 95 percent CI: 1.94, 5.99) and unknown cause of infertility (OR = 1.94, 95 percent CI: 1.49, 2.54). Furthermore, unknown cause of infertility related to serous invasive ovarian cancer (OR = 1.86, 95 percent CI: 1.26, 2.74).
We further assessed the independent and joint relations among infertility, fertility drug use, and ovarian cancer in a logistic regression model that adjusted for standard confounders. Infertility was significantly related to ovarian cancer (OR = 1.26, 95 percent CI: 1.14, 1.39). Fertility drug use was not related to ovarian cancer (OR = 1.13, 95 percent CI: 0.56, 2.29) nor was the multiplicative interaction between infertility and fertility drugs (OR = 0.79, 95 percent CI: 0.37, 1.66) related to ovarian cancer.
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DISCUSSION
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In our pooled analysis, we found no association between fertility drug use and the overall risk of ovarian cancer. Neither longer duration of fertility drug use nor unsuccessful fertility drug use was independently associated with significant elevations in adjusted cancer risk. We did find that, among women who never achieved a pregnancy, fertility drugs were related to an elevated risk of borderline serous tumors but not to invasive tumors. Although the association between fertility drugs and borderline serous tumors may be real and important, it might also be a significant result arising from multiple comparisons. Furthermore, the association may reflect surveillance or diagnostic bias with enhanced surveillance occurring among young women who have invasive, fertility-related procedures; borderline tumors generally arise among younger women who have an excellent life expectancy after tumor excision (24
, 25
). This assertion is strengthened by the many nonspecific associations between serous borderline tumors and various infertility types. Overall, our findings conflict with some previous reports (1
, 2
, 9
) but not with others (3
, 6
, 7
, 10
), suggesting that it may be premature to ascribe a causal link between fertility drug use and the subsequent development of ovarian cancer (26

29
).
We did find strong relations among nulligravidity, prolonged attempts to become pregnant (although these results were heterogeneous among studies), and ovarian cancer risk, suggesting that subfertile women are at increased risk of ovarian cancer even after adjustment for contraception and pregnancies. Both lack of gravidity and attempts at pregnancy were more strongly related to risk than seeking medical attention for infertility among nulligravid women. These results may be explained by the observation that most women who sought medical attention subsequently became pregnant. At the same time, many women who were nulligravid never sought medical attention (table 2).
Endometriosis and unknown cause of infertility have been linked to ovarian cancer in a variety of clinical and epidemiologic studies, including our own (3
, 4
, 7
, 22
, 30

33
). Indeed, endometriosis has specifically been linked to endometrioid and clear cell tumors, perhaps as part of a natural progression. That we did not have data on time between infertility workup and ovarian cancer diagnosis introduces the possibility that endometriosis may represent a precursor of ovarian cancer. It is also possible that inflammation plays a role in ovarian carcinogenesis. This may explain the link between ovarian cancer and endometriosis, with its marked local inflammation (34
, 35
). It may further explain the link to infertility of unknown origin, perhaps through abnormal prostaglandin responses, which mediate both ovulation and inflammation (36
, 37
).
We did not find that either ovulatory infertility or menstrual infertility (perhaps a surrogate marker for anovulation) elevated invasive ovarian cancer risk. Although such relations have been reported in the past (2
, 16
), current hypotheses regarding the etiology of ovarian cancer do not predict a causal association. Both the ovulation hypothesis and the gonadotrophin hypothesis postulate that fewer ovulations resulting from ovulatory infertility and/or lower-peak estrogen and progesterone levels associated with anovulation would reduce, not elevate, ovarian cancer risk.
Strengths of this pooled analysis include its size, generalizability, population-based ascertainment strategy, and the use of structured, detailed data collection methods, including data on infertility and fertility drug use. Weaknesses include the relatively small proportion of women using fertility drugs among the entire population (2.7 percent), even among subfertile women (14.6 percent), and the even smaller number of women on whom we had specific information regarding specific types of fertility drugs used. Another study weakness is reliance on self-reports for fertility evaluations and fertility drug use. We know of no data regarding distant recall of infertility type or fertility drugs per se, but there are data on distant recall of contraceptive hormones that suggest women were unlikely to err in recall of ever versus never use of oral contraceptives (38


42
). Typically, women with medical record documentation of use reported utilizing these medications 80 percent of the time or more. However, duration of oral contraceptive use and type of oral contraceptives used were less likely to be recalled correctly. On a related topic, it is likely that diagnosis and classification of fertility type may have varied by study site. We did observe variability in the proportion of women with specific fertility diagnoses by study site, yet we did not observe significant heterogeneity in the association between type of infertility and ovarian cancer by site.
Nevertheless, these case-control data suggest that infertility per se, but not the use of fertility medications, elevates the overall risk of ovarian cancer.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
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The studies involved in this pooled analysis received grant support, and the authors wish to acknowledge contributors as follows: Goodman et al.: grants R01-CA-58598 and N01-CN-67001 from the National Cancer Institute, Castle Memorial Hospital, Kaiser Foundation Hospital, Kapiolani Medical Center, Kuakini Medical Center, Queens Medical Center, Straub Clinic and Hospital, St. Francis Hospital, Tripler Army Hospital, and Wahiawa General Hospital; Ness et al.: grant R01-CA63748 from the National Cancer Institute; Cramer et al.: grant RO1-CA 54419 from the National Cancer Institute; Risch et al.: grant 6613-1415-53 from the National Health Research and Development Program of Health Canada; Purdie et al.: Australian National Health and Medical Research Council and the Queensland Cancer Fund; Mallin et al.: grant R01-CA61093 from the National Cancer Institute; Kjaer et al.: grant R01-CA-61107 from the National Cancer Institute; Mosgaard et al.: grants from Løvens Kemiske Fabriks Forskningsfond, Stud. Med. Karsten Hansens Grant, NovoCare, Fabrikant Einar Willumsens Grant, Danish Hospital Foundation for Medical Research, Region of Copenhagen, The Faroe Island and Greenland (J77/94), Minister Erna Hamiltons Grant for Science and Art, Agnes og Poul Friis-Fund, The Danish Medical Association Research Fund (J086.51), and Max and Anna Friedmanns Grant, Copenhagen, Denmark.
The authors also acknowledge the contributions of the following persons: Ness et al.: Jeanne Anne Grisso and Jennifer Klapper; Purdie et al.: Adele Green, Christopher Bain, Victor Siskind, Bruce Ward, Neville Hacker, Michael Quinn, Peter Russell, Gordon Wright, and Beatrice Susil; Mallin et al.: coinvestigators Karin Rosenblatt, Faith Davis, Viswanath, and Candice Zahora; Kjaer et al.: coinvestigator Eva Glud, Jan Blaakaer, and Claus Hoegdall.
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NOTES
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Reprint requests to Dr. Roberta B. Ness, University of Pittsburgh, 130 DeSoto Street, 517 Parran Hall, Pittsburgh, PA 15261 (e-mail: repro{at}vms.cis.pitt.edu).
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Received for publication December 6, 2000.
Accepted for publication July 31, 2001.