1 Perinatal Epidemiological Research Unit, Department of Gynaecology and Obstetrics, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
2 Department of Paediatrics, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
3 Danish Epidemiology Science Centre, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
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ABSTRACT |
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fetal death; infant mortality; pregnancy; smoking; tobacco
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INTRODUCTION |
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Results of previous studies on smoking in pregnancy and infant death have been inconsistent (626
), and it is possible that an apparent association between smoking and mortality can be explained by differences between smokers and nonsmokers in social class and in other lifestyle factors. Only if smoking is causally related to mortality is it possible to reduce the number of infant deaths by interventions directed at reducing the number of pregnant smokers.
The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between exposure to tobacco smoke in utero and the risk of stillbirth and increased mortality in the first year of life while taking into account a number of potential confounders and effect modifiers.
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MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Information from the first questionnaire was used to establish the women's medical record. It provided information on medical and obstetric history, maternal age, smoking habits before pregnancy and during the first trimester, and alcohol intake during pregnancy. The second questionnaire provided information on marital status, education, occupational status, and caffeine intake during pregnancy. Information from the third questionnaire was used only to record smoking habits during pregnancy. Information about delivery was obtained from birth registration forms filled out by the attending midwife immediately after delivery. Before data entry, all birth registration forms were manually checked and compared with the medical records by a research midwife.
Information about stillbirths was obtained from the data we collected at our department and from the Danish Medical Birth Register through record linkage by using the mother's personal identification number. Information about deaths during the first year of life, including causes of death, was obtained from the Registry of Causes of Death, administered by the Danish National Board of Health, and from the Civil Registration System. Four children who were deceased according to the data from the Civil Registration System were not listed in the Registry of Causes of Death. The information was checked in the children's medical records, according to which the four children were deceased. Stillbirth was defined as delivery of a dead fetus occurring at 28 completed weeks of gestation or later, and infant death was defined as death of a liveborn infant occurring before age 1 year.
The study population was restricted to Danish-speaking women who answered the first questionnaire and who carried their pregnancy to a livebirth or a delivery after 28 weeks of gestation (n = 26,326). Twins were excluded from the study (n = 882). The study population was further restricted to those with valid information about the mother's smoking habits during pregnancy (n = 25,102). The second questionnaire was answered by 18,598 (74 percent) women and the third by 16,500 (66 percent).
Women were categorized as smokers if they smoked one or more cigarettes per day when 16 or 30 weeks pregnant. Only minimal changes in smoking habits appear after 16 weeks of gestation (27). Smoking was analyzed in two categories (smokers vs. nonsmokers), and also in the ordered categories 0, 19, and 10 or more cigarettes per day. Furthermore, nonsmokers were analyzed in two categories; those who stopped smoking before 16 weeks of pregnancy were compared with those who were nonsmokers from the beginning of pregnancy. Caffeine intake was calculated from daily intake of coffee (1 cup = 100 mg), tea (1 cup = 50 mg), chocolate (1 cup = 50 mg), and cola (250 ml = 50 mg). Caffeine intake was analyzed in two categories (<400 vs.
400 mg/day).
Statistical analyses
The association between smoking during pregnancy and mortality from the third trimester to age 1 year is presented as odds ratios with 95 percent confidence intervals. Other variables accounted for in the analyses were categorized as seen in table 1. These variables were evaluated in logistic regression analyses in two ways. They were included one at a time, and if they changed the measure of association between smoking and mortality by more than 10 percent, they remained in the final model (28). Subsequently, all of the covariates in table 1 were included at the same time based on a priori information that they might potentially confound the results. All covariates were entered as a number of dummy variables equal to the number of categories minus one. Effect modification was evaluated by stratified analyses and by logistic regression with interaction terms. The association between smoking and infant mortality was also evaluated by Cox regression analyses. However, because the results were similar to those from logistic regression analyses, they are not presented. The attributable fraction was calculated from the formula: attributable fraction = proportion of exposed in the population x (odds ratio - 1)/proportion of exposed in the population x (odds ratio - 1) + 1 (29
).
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RESULTS |
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The rate of stillbirth was 4.6/1,000. The infant mortality rate was 4.9/1,000. The rates of stillbirth and infant mortality according to smoking habits during pregnancy and a number of sociodemographic and lifestyle factors are presented in table 1.
Compared with nonsmokers, smokers had about twice the risk of stillbirth (table 2) and of infant death (table 3). The risk of stillbirth and infant death among children born to women who stopped smoking in the first trimester was comparable with that in children of women who were nonsmokers from the beginning of pregnancy (tables 2 and 3). The mean age at death among children of smokers was 55 days, and among children of nonsmokers, it was 42 days (mean difference, 14 days, 95 percent confidence interval: -40, 14).
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The association between smoking and stillbirth was independent of caffeine intake. In women whose intake of caffeine was less than 400 mg per day, smoking increased the risk of infant death by 40 percent (odds ratio = 1.4, 95 percent confidence interval: 0.8, 2.6), and when caffeine intake was 400 mg or more per day, smoking increased the risk of infant death more than fourfold (odds ratio = 4.4, 95 percent confidence interval: 1.8, 10.8). This difference was mainly due to low infant mortality among nonsmokers with a high intake of caffeine.
If our results reflect causal relations between smoking, stillbirth, and infant mortality, approximately 25 percent of all stillbirths and 20 percent of all infant deaths could be avoided if all pregnant smokers stopped smoking by the sixteenth week in a population with 30 percent pregnant smokers.
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DISCUSSION |
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In this study of 25,102 deliveries, smoking increased the risk of stillbirth and infant death. Because of prospective collection of information about maternal lifestyle factors and sociodemographic factors, we could adjust for a number of potential confounders, including alcohol intake during pregnancy. Apparently, these variables could not explain our findings. However, information about socioeconomic variables was missing in about one third of all women, which may constrain the possibility to adjust fully for these factors. We found a higher risk associated with smoking than in previous studies that have found significantly increased mortality in infants of smokers (7, 10
, 12
, 13
). This may be due to the fact that our study was conducted in a homogeneous population with low overall mortality, reflecting lower prevalence of competing risks.
To our knowledge, no previous study has been able to examine the effect of smoking cessation during the first trimester. We found that among children of women who stopped smoking before 16 weeks of gestation the risk of stillbirth and infant death was comparable with that in children of women who had been nonsmokers from the beginning of pregnancy. This result indicates that smoking exerts its influence on mortality at some point after the first trimester and supports the causal role of fetal exposure to tobacco smoke in late pregnancy. The result also emphasizes the importance of providing smoking cessation programs for pregnant women who indicate at the first antenatal visit that they smoke. In our population, very few women gave up smoking after the first trimester, and therefore, we could not study the effect of smoking cessation after that period.
We did not have information on maternal smoking habits after delivery, but these are likely to be closely associated with smoking habits during pregnancy. Discrimination between the effects of maternal smoking during pregnancy and after birth on infant death therefore remains speculative. If passive exposure to cigarette smoking after delivery explained our findings, the risk of respiratory deaths would most likely be increased among children of smokers compared with children of nonsmokers. However, children of smokers were not at increased risk of respiratory deaths compared with children of nonsmokers. Furthermore, the distribution of causes of infant deaths showed that exposure to tobacco smoke in utero apparently increased the risk of death due to a variety of causes, which may indicate that the harmful effect of exposure to tobacco smoke is not restricted to a single organ.
Information about smoking habits was obtained from self-administered questionnaires at 16 and 30 weeks of gestation. Information about smoking habits at 30 weeks of gestation was missing in about one third of the population. However, previous studies in the same population have shown that only minimal changes in smoking habits occur after the first trimester (27, 30
). Furthermore, studies of pregnant women indicate that they underreport their smoking (31
, 32
). The underreporting, either by completely denying the habit or by reporting a smaller number of cigarettes than the amount they smoke, would cause an underestimation of the true effect of smoking and make it difficult to find the correct dose-response association. Underreporting may thus explain why we found the same risk of infant death among women who smoked fewer than 10 cigarettes per day compared with those who smoked 10 or more cigarettes per day.
Information about death was obtained from Danish registers. Because information about death is held in more than one register and because we had access to the medical records of the mothers and their children, we could manually check the information from the registers when there was disagreement between different sources of information. With this procedure, the number of misclassified deaths was reduced.
In countries where smoking is prevalent, exposure to tobacco smoke in utero is probably the most important preventable risk factor for stillbirth and infant death. Assuming that the associations found in this study reflect causal associations, in Denmark, one fourth of all stillbirths and one fifth of all deaths occurring during the first year of life could be avoided if all pregnant women stopped smoking by the sixteenth week of their pregnancy.
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NOTES |
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REFERENCES |
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